THE BREAKING OF THE GREAT ARTIFICIAL DROUGHT
Updated from the beginning of the thread on June 13, 2013, through page 18, to September 17, 2014
“The Ministry of Truth - Minitrue, in Newspeak - was startlingly different from any other object in sight. It was an enormous pyramidal structure of glittering white concrete, soaring up, terrace after terrace, three hundred meters into the air. From where Winston stood it was just possible to read, picked out on its white face in elegant lettering, the three slogans of the Party:
WAR IS PEACE, FREEDOM IS SLAVERY, IGNORANCE IS STRENGTH.”
George Orwell, from " 1984 "
January 4, 2013 - There Is No Link Between Rising Temperatures And Increased Rainfall
September, 2013 - NASA Study Projects Warming-Driven Changes in Global Rainfall
September, 2013 - Climate change might be causing abundant rainfall
February 7, 2013 - 2013 had the fewest U.S. forest fires since 1984
March, 2014 - Abundant rainfall could mean more intense grass fire season
As you can see from the two sets of quotes immediately above, the folks in charge are lying to you about basically everything, including temperature, rainfall and forest fires.
It’s June, 2017, and the great artificial drought has been broken by the slow, steady, widespread and ever-increasing distribution of simple, inexpensive Orgonite devices in the vicinity of the weather warfare infrastructure that many still mistakenly presume only carries cell phone traffic and weather radar data.
That’s really bad news for the folks who have built, expand and maintain build and the global, Death energy-based weather control and modification system. A great many of the nodes on their “network” are “UNESCO World Heritage Sites” - the most important, oldest nodes.
Rainfall has been slowly, steadily and deliberately mitigated, back into history, via an intentional, malefic effort driven by Death energy - first via human sacrifices in key places on the Earth’s energy grid, and later augmented by the “modern technologies” we’ve been steadily assured all have no deleterious effects whatsoever. Telegraph, telephone, radio, radar, television and, at the last, cell phone technology.
The folks in charge have worshipped Storm gods of various names all the way back, and one of them was the Canaanite Ba’al. I’ve previously advanced the thesis that stone Ba’al pillars were the first death-tech, collecting and transmitting the Death Energy of sacrifices performed at their bases. Fast-forward to today, and you can note the worldwide network of antennaed and steepled structures festooning the World Grid. They are, all of them, simply newer- and newer-school Ba’al pillars. Or so I have subjectively concluded.
Baal was also known as ‘Lord of the Air’. It’s why the famous car and Southern California suburb are called ‘Bel Air’ (from B’el Air, Ba’al Air). It’s why you have shoes called ‘Air’, and why the big cell phone company’s advertising campaign was ‘Rule the Air’…all hail, Ba’al, our dark master.
Ba’al Pillers to cell towers, Lord of the Air to ‘Rule the Air’ - they imagined the rubes would never figure it out. Well, a certain small subset of us have, and, unfortunately for our ill-intended, erstwhile masters, we’ve also figured out that simple orgonite flips the polarity of these structures, and they become Positive Orgone Radiation generators and transmitters.
It was Don Croft who taught me that Las Vegas was green and verdant when the Spaniards arrived. 1829: “Armijo dispatched a young Mexican scout named Raphael Rivera to search for an oasis ; he returned thirteen days later with news of a verdant spring covered with the rolling green fields the Spanish call las vegas . Meadows there were, and plenty of water too ; the traders refreshed themselves and reached Los Angeles less than three weeks later.”
Here’s wiki’s take:
“ It was called Las Vegas by the Spanish. The name means The Meadows in the Spanish language. It had a lot of these in 1854. The city is known for its dry weather, as is the rest of southern Nevada. It is surrounded by deserts .”
Can you see how they say “ known for its dry weather ” and have erased “oasis”?
Here’s a different wiki entry:
“ In the 1800s, areas of the Las Vegas Valley contained artesian wells that supported extensive green areas or meadows (vegas in Spanish), hence the name Las Vegas. ”
Ah, the greenery was artificial , I see! More deliberate obfuscation.
This is from a book on blackjack: “ years ago, Las Vegas was just another uninhabitable tract of land. That was until late in the 1820s when Spaniards located a well , thus creating an oasis .”
For those unaware, artesian wells are artificial, they’re drilled. While a verdant spring or an oasis are natural. Yes, even more deliberate spin, lies and obfuscation to cover the desertification agenda that these barely-closeted Death worshippers have been implementing all the way back to Babylon, and before.
The negative light in which rain, the giver of life is portrayed in the media goes back deep into the past, as well. " Rain, rain, go away ." It’s an incantation, a Black magic spell.
And it’s not just drought creation and desertification these people are into, of course. It’s Death in all its manifestations – killing the animals, the plants, the humans – generating as much Death energy as possible for the dark gods they worship.
I know this is really hard for many or most to grasp, or deal with, but it’s like coming to terms with a deadbeat friend who’s been crashing on your couch for too long. It’s time to come to terms with this situation, and get our house in order.
The great news is that the tide has turned, the game is over for these people:
“April 28, 2016 - Record-breaking rain in April for Las Vegas, and it’s not done yet”
All the Las Vegas rainfall records, below, aren’t strange, and anomalous, they’re a return to the way things always were .
And that’s true about everywhere else, too.
I don’t know how long it’s going to take for wider humanity to awaken from the carefully crafted spell they’ve been placed under, but I’m quite awake, and if you’ve reached this Obscure Internet Forum, I’m guessing that, so are you, too.
Everyone’s waking up, together.
If you haven’t already done so, please consider distributing simple, inexpensive Orgonite devices where you live and work, today, or sponsor a gifter, perhaps even through a vehicle such as this forum.
October 27, 2012 - After decades of decline, Texas quail rebounding this year
Over the past 20 years or so, Texas’ quail population has declined by as much as 70 percent.
Rains this past winter and spring jump-started vegetation growth , and that burst of grasses and other plants provided food and cover for adult quail, triggering a strong nesting effort, he said. Quail chicks found plenty of insects to eat. August and September rains greatly aided survival of chicks and encouraged late nesting.
“I’ve seen a marked and impressive increase in quail numbers,” Ledbetter said. “Where I was seeing coveys with just six or eight birds in them last year, I’ve counted 18-22 birds.” The best quail numbers were in South Texas. " But I’ve seen more quail this year in the Hill Country - Edwards Plateau - than I have in years ," Ledbetter said.
January 4, 2013 - There Is No Link Between Rising Temperatures And Increased Rainfall
"In viewing the three portions of the above figure, it can readily be seen that from approximately 1939-2009, there were no significant trends in any of the three precipitation parameters over that seven-decade interval , when the bulk of the global warming most recently experienced by the Earth has been claimed by climate alarmists to have been unprecedented with respect to the past millennium or two. In addition, they note that the most intense events (those over the 90th, 95th and 99th percentiles) have small trends over the full period analyzed, which are rarely significant even on a local scale. And these sets of observations cast a huge amount of doubt upon climate-alarmist predictions of greater precipitation – including more intense precipitation extremes – occurring in tandem with rising temperatures."
January 4, 2014 - Latest storm likely to make the 2010s the snowiest decade in the east in the NOAA record
It was quite a storm. I have never seen Logan Airport report heavy snow with an air temperature of 1F (not wind chill) before. The ended up with 15.1 inches. Boxford had 23.8 inches.
Even as more cold and snow invades the central, near the east coast, the post storm blues have set in with the inevitability of an inside runner following rapidly on its heels. But snow loving friends, we have lived through quite a decade and the millennium so far has been a boon to snow lovers despite the continuing claims that snows are becoming rare and hurting winter sports as erroneously reported last week in Boston Magazine.
We here are using NOAA’s own NESIS scale – which we used to call the Kocin/Uccellini storms.
The Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS) Overview
While the Fujita and Saffir-Simpson Scales characterize tornadoes and hurricanes respectively, there is no widely used scale to classify snowstorms. The Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS) developed by Paul Kocin and Louis Uccellini of the National Weather Service (Kocin and Uccellini, 2004) characterizes and ranks high-impact Northeast snowstorms. These storms have large areas of 10 inch snowfall accumulations and greater. NESIS has five categories: Extreme, Crippling, Major, Significant, and Notable. The index differs from other meteorological indices in that it uses population information in addition to meteorological measurements. Thus NESIS gives an indication of a storm’s societal impacts. This scale was developed because of the impact Northeast snowstorms can have on the rest of the country in terms of transportation and economic impact.
This week’s storm was at least as impactful and covered a wide stretch back to the Midwest. If it joins the NESIS list, it will be storm 49 and make the 2010s the snowiest decade for the east coast in the record, surpassing the 1960s.
February 7, 2013 - Least extreme U.S. weather year ever?
2013 shatters the record for fewest U.S. tornadoes — 15% lower than previous record — 2013 also had the fewest U.S. forest fires since 1984
‘Whether you’re talking about tornadoes, wildfires, extreme heat or hurricanes, the good news is that weather-related disasters in the US are all way down this year compared to recent years and, in some cases, down to historically low levels.’
Extreme Heat: The number of 100 degree days may ‘turn out to be the lowest in about 100 years of records’
Hurricanes: ‘We are currently in the longest period (8 years) since the Civil War Era without a major hurricane strike in the US (i.e., category 3, 4 or 5)’ ( last major hurricane to strike the US was Hurricane Wilma in 2005)
The latest data show both tornadoes and now wildfires in dramatic decline.
February 27, 2013 - What’s behind Lake Tahoe’s ‘Amazing’ Gain in Clarity
The crystal blue water of Lake Tahoe is getting clearer. Clarity in the alpine lake has improved for two years in a row.
March 3, 2013 - Lake Tahoe Water Clarity Improving
A recent trend in improved water clarity at Lake Tahoe has scientists and regional agency planners confident that 15 years of environmental measures are beginning to bear fruit.
Last year’s annual average clarity depth at the lake was recorded at 75.3 feet – more than an 11-foot improvement from the all-time worst recorded in 1997 , according to data from the UC Davis Tahoe Environmental Research Center.
April, 2013 – In Britain, weeks of freezing weather are set to be followed by a wet and cool summer , forecasters warned yesterday
April, 2013 - Forecast is for May is for near-normal to cooler than normal temperatures. Wet March and April have wiped out the drought in Georgia!
May 15, 2013 - The long range summer forecast for Ireland would suggest that we are in for another year of cooler and wetter than normal conditions
May 26, 2013 - German meteorologists say that the start of 2013 is now the coldest in 208 years – and now German media has quoted Russian scientist Dr Habibullo Abdussamatov from the St. Petersburg Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory [saying this] is proof as he said earlier that we are heading for a “Mini Ice Age.” Talking to German media, the scientist who first made his prediction in 2005 said that after studying sunspots and their relationship with climate change on Earth, we are now on an ‘unavoidable advance towards a deep temperature drop.’”
Faith in Global Warming is collapsing in formerly staunch Europe following increasingly severe winters which have now started continuing into spring.
“Here in Britain, where we had our fifth freezing winter in a row, the Central England Temperature record – according to an expert analysis on the US science blog Watts Up With That – shows that in this century, average winter temperatures have dropped by 1.45C, more than twice as much as their rise between 1850 and 1999, and twice as much as the entire net rise in global temperatures recorded in the 20th century.”
Last week it was reported that 3,318 places in the USA had recorded their lowest temperatures for this time of year since records began . Similar record cold was experienced by places in every province of Canada. So cold has the Russian winter been that Moscow had its deepest snowfall in 134 years of observations .
June, 2013 - Corn farmers are feeling the impact of a cool, wet spring but are still expected to bring in a record crop this year
(A record crop was the result - yet the farmers are said to " feel the impact" - blatant negative spin inserted prior to the good news - ed)
June, 2013 – Rice output in India is set to climb to a record as early arrival of monsoon rains over the biggest growing regions spurs planting
Showers have been 23 percent more than a 50-year average since June 1, with Andhra Pradesh getting at least 70 percent more rains , bureau data showed. Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal are the nation’s top growers, representing about 29 percent of the crop."
(Headline deliberately misleads, says it’s " early arrival " to avoid saying “plentiful rain” - ed)
July, 2013 - Canada - Larry Robinson…(has) been giving horse-drawn wagon rides through the “desert” for nearly two decades under company name Spirit Sands Wagon Outfitters. (His tours include) a stop at the Devil’s Punch Bowl, a 45-metre depression of sand where blue-green water pools.
This year alone has seen a surge in vegetative cover, thanks to rain seemingly every second or third day in the Spirit Sands, as the dunes are called.
The Manitoba government has not ruled out using herbicides to stop vegetation from covering the sandhills at Spruce Hills Provincial Park, said Conservation Minister Gord Mackintosh.
Other options to preserve the sandhills include controlled burns and plowing up the vegetation to bring back exposed sand. Part of the justification is that Manitoba will lose unique species such as skinks, our only native lizard, that rely on areas of open sand.
"The area ‘looked like the Sahara’ two decades ago."
July 9, 2013 - Rising Carbon Dioxide Levels Cause Desert Greening, Satellite Observations Reveal
“According to new research reported in the Geophysical Research Letters, increased levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) over the past three decades have caused an 11 percent increase in green foliage over the globe’s arid regions through a process called CO2 fertilization.”
(The satellite observations simply reveal greening - the leap to it being caused by rising CO2 levels is their own. A careful misdirection -ed)
July 13, 2013 – (North Texas) Summer weather shocker : Cool and rainy
(The words " mystery ", " baffled " and " puzzled " are memes, used, among numerous similar variants, whenever anyone in the wholly-controlled-and-coopted Political, Academic, Scientific and Media establishments wants to lie about, well, basically anything. One of those variants is " shocked ". -ed)
September, 2013 - N AS A Study Projects Warming-Driven Changes in Global Rainfall
September, 2013 - Mosquitoes plentiful, hungry in Chattanooga area after 7 inches of rain
September, 2013 - Crop Diseases Linked to Abundant Rainfall, Cooler Temperatures
September, 2013 - Climate change might be causing abundant rainfall
September, 2013 - Rain Dampens Local Economy
September, 2013 - Record rainfa l l may dampen fall color show
September, 2013 - Plentiful Rainfall puts Pressure on Dams
September, 2013 - Plentiful rain brings disease to Alabama soybeans, cotton
September, 2013 - Abundant rainfall could mean more intense grass fire season
September, 2013 - Abundant Rainfall Could Spell Trouble For Willamette Valley Crops
September, 2013 - Abundant rainfall worries NC farmers, water department
September, 2013 - Abundant rainfall delays some crops
September, 2013- Abundant rain, cool weather may lead to standout fall allergy season
September, 2013 - Abundant rainfall attracts fall pests early
September, 2013 - Despite plentiful rainfall , water restrictions remain
September, 2013 - Despite spring’s abundant rain , drought is again just inches away
December 19, 2013 - According to the research, water clarity has been increasing in a majority of the Great Lakes .
January 11, 2014 - Twenty-three Americans died from lightning in 2013, the fewest since records began in 1940 .
The year 2013 set a record for the fewest lightning deaths in a year in the USA. There were 23 fatalities directly attributed to lightning, according to data from the National Weather Service. The previous record low was in 2011, which had 26 deaths. Accurate lightning death records go back 73 years to 1940.
Over the past 30 years, about 52 people on average die each year from lightning strikes. Going way back, in the 1940s, hundreds of people were killed each year by lightning; in 1943 alone, 432 people died. “While we don’t like to see any lightning deaths, the continuing reduction in yearly fatalities is encouraging,” Jensenius said.
Why the huge drop in deaths, especially compared with decades ago, even though the population is more than twice what it was then? "Comparisons show that the decrease in lightning risk to people coincides with a shift in population from rural to urban regions," wrote meteorologist Ronald Holle in an article in the Journal of Applied Meteorology .
“There were many, many more small farmers who were out working in fields,” Jensenius said, which resulted in many more chances to be struck by lightning.
Other reasons for the drop in lightning-related fatalities over the years:
- All phones were corded, and there were quite a few deaths due to people speaking on the phone.
- Better lightning protection, suppression and grounding in electrical and phone lines.
- More concern and awareness of lightning safety, due in part to advances in media communication.
- Medical advances in treating lightning strike victims.
Last year was also a relatively quiet year in the USA for severe thunderstorms , which produce large hail, tornadoes or very strong winds. Could this have been a factor in the record low number of lightning deaths?
"I have never tried to correlate the two; however, I doubt that there’d be much of a correlation," Jensenius said. "Very few lightning deaths seem to occur during ‘severe’ weather. As for non-severe thunderstorms, overall, the number of thunderstorms doesn’t vary much from year to year across the United States, so I don’t think there’s much of a correlation there either."
February 4, 2014 - OSHKOSH, Wisconsin – Just days before the 2014 Winnebago lake sturgeon spearing season opens Feb. 8, state fisheries officials reported that water clarity and ice conditions, the best in a decade and the keys to spearing success, continue to improve.
Feb 10, 2014 – Mt. Tam gets 21 inches of rain as three Marin reservoirs spill
March 1, 2014 – For the first time in nearly three years, downtown Los Angeles received more than 2 inches — doubling its total for the rainy season that began in July.
April 24, 2014 – As the rain keeps pouring down, Seattle sets rainfall record
May 1, 2014 – Record-setting rainfall : 3-7 inches fall across Washington, D.C. area.
May 13, 2014 - A new study on lake clarity across eight Midwestern states relies solely on data from citizen scientist s. The records dated back to the late 1930s and spanned eight Midwestern states. The trend across more than three thousand lakes was a slight increase in water clarity. And in Wisconsin and Minnesota, that trend was stronger in the northern regions.
May 15, 2014 - Cleveland’s May rain doubles normal and leads Ohio. It’s rained 11 out of the first 15 days this month.
May 15, 2015 – Cleveland’s May rain doubles normal - It’s rained 11 out of the first 15 days this month .
May 23, 2014 - LUBBOCK, TX – Lubbock’s official rainfall total for 2014 more than doubled Friday morning.
May 27, 2014 – Seattle surpasses 6-month rainfall record in just 4 months
May 28, 2014 – MID-MICHIGAN – We’re now experiencing one of our wettest Mays since records began in Flint.
May 26, 2014 – Philadelphia, PA - WEATHER BLOG: Will Gorgeous Holiday Weather Last?
May 31, 2014 – Saturday’s forecast: Gorgeous weather on the West coast …
June 2014 was Minnesota’s wettest June, and wettest month, of the modern record .
June 18, 2014 – Davis, CA - Lovely weather brings the students out on campus
June 19, 2014 – West Michigan rainfall breaks record.
June 20, 2014 – Excellent Conditions for 2014 Colorado Fly Fishing and Hunting Seasons
With snow still melting from the peaks and the weather slowly warming, summer is slowly arriving this year in the Colorado high country. The conditions are already green and lush , and the health of our grazing and water in the Flat Tops is the best we have seen in years .
Guided Fly Fishing trips in Colorado Wilderness areas We expect to see a very exciting fishing season with these conditions unfolding. Our timberline lakes will be full, and our headwaters streams will continue to fill with clear, cold water for our native trout.
With all of the moisture on the ground and in th e waterways, insect life should also provide healthy nourishment for trout throughout the summer . Aquatic insects like caddis, mayflies and stoneflies all rely on cold, oxygenated water. This should result in prolific hatches and some excellent dry fly fishing throughout the summer months!
Bull Elk Our big game herds are certainly benefiting from the lush vegetation as well. We are already seeing a banner year for antler growth in bull elk and mule deer bucks. Last year at this time, grass around our base camp was already beginning to brown. This year, the grass in camp is more than eight inches tall. With the peaks still white and plenty of snow yet to melt, elk cows and calves will have excellent grazing conditions. Our herds should go into this fall in great shape.
Of course, all of this moisture is also leading to very healthy wildflowers. Our horseback riding guests will enjoy and excellent wildflower season this year. The hills are already coming alive with flowers. With plenty of snow still melting off the peaks, the flowers should continue to bloom well into the summer.
June 23, 2014 - The Midwest Receives Two Months Of Rainfall In One Week
June 23, 2014 – U.K. - Enjoying the lovely weather here in East London
June 26, 2014 - Texas’ Recent Rains Improve Drought, Lake Level. Lakes around the state have benefited and are at nearly two-thirds of capacity. Statewide Texans got more rain in May (4.03 inches) than normal, and June is on track to also surpass its normal of 3.44 inches.
June 28, 2014 – Lancaster, PA - June’s final weekend will give us lovely weather
June 18, 2014 - Another wave of heavy thunderstorms in Minnesota dumped flooding rains on Mankato and New Ulm overnight and pushed the Twin Cities into record territory for precipitation so far in 2014.
June 18, 2014 – Abilene, Texas - This year’s cotton crop is going into the ground and June showers are getting things off to a good start. This time last month, the outlook for the 2014 cotton crop was dismal. Rainfall was more than five inches below average, with no sign of immediate improvement. Then the calendar rolled over to June and our annual rainfall nearly doubled. As of June 18, we’ve seen 3.36" of rain in June. That’s almost half of the yearly total so far.
July 1, 2014 – Despite a painfully dry winter, most of the Bay Area didn’t set any records for low rainfall this past year. In San Francisco, where records go back to the Gold Rush, last year didn’t even rank in the bottom 10.
July 8, 2014 - Coffee Output in India Seen Rising to Record as Rains Spur Beans
July 8, 2014 - Weather underpins hopes for huge US corn crop
(headline uses the neutral ’ weather ’ to carefully avoid saying “cool, rainy” - ed)
Weather forecasts maintained hope for US corn production prospects as crops entered the key pollination period in historically strong condition, with soybeans and spring wheat seen thriving too.
An outlook for temperatures to remain below average throughout the Midwest over the next 10 days “sets the stage for excellent pollination conditions”, said Paul Georgy, president of Chicago broker Allendale.
"If the forecast comes true it would make it the fourth coolest pollination period since 1980.
“This would put this year in the category with 2004 and 2009 when record yields were set in corn.”
US farmers achieved a corn yield of 160.3 bushels per acre in 2004, beating by a margin the previous record of 142.2 bushels per acre set the previous year, while in 2009 setting the current all-time high of 164.7 bushels per acre.
Cool conditions are beneficial to pollination, with heat and dryness hampering the process, as seen in 2012, when the yield fell to 123.4 bushels per acre, the lowest since 1995.
‘Bumper yield prospects’
At RJ O’ Brien, Richard Feltes also highlighted that the two-week outlook for Midwest temperatures was “not only cooler than last week’s models, but normal-to-below average through the peak of corn pollination in mid-July”.
He added: "US farmers, grown accustomed to sub-160 bushels per acre US corn yields in eight of the last 10 years, are unexpectedly faced with the prospect of a 170 bushels-per- acre 2014 US corn yield."
The comments followed the release of data overnight showing that as of Sunday 15% of corn was silking, part of the pollination process, at a time when 75% of the crop was in “good” or “excellent” condition.
While unchanged on the week, that rating was the second best of the past 20 years for the time of year , beaten only by the 1999 figure.
‘High humidity was beneficial’
The increase reflected largely an improvement in southern growing states, such as Texas, where USDA scouts reports that " corn experienced rapid growth as a result of recent rainfall ", with 66% rated good or excellent, up 2 points week on week.
In Kansas, where " cooler temperatures prevailed and rain fell " last week in southern parts of the state last week, the proportion of corn rated good or excellent increased by 3 points to 58%.
’Spring wheat is flourishing’
Indeed, the proportion of Iowa soybeans rated good or excellent fell too, by 2 points to 73%, although this was, again, insufficient to offset improvements in other states, such as Kansas, Kentucky and Nebraska.
The rating of the national crop, steady at 72% good or excellent, is the best in 20 years for the time of year.
For spring wheat, the proportion seen as in good or excellent condition held at 70%, including 83% of the crop in North Dakota, the top growing state.
"Northern spring wheat is flourishing in a cool, rainy summer," said Gail Martell at Martell Crop Projections.
July 24, 2014 – Weather: Gorgeous day expected - Cincinnati Enquirer
August, 2014 - Cleaner New York waters see surge in whale and shark numbers
“I would say it’s only about four miles from the Statue of Liberty,” he told the Guardian.
August 2, 2014 – Lovely weather we’re having this August.
August 3, 2014 – Portland weather: Gorgeous , sunny Sunday
August 5, 2014 - Surprising facts about climate change in Portugal: Why the climate catastrophe is not happening
As Portugal came out of its second unusually wet winter in a row , some people already fear these could be the first signs of global climate change . Can the seemingly endless rainy period be blamed on ourselves because we are driving our cars to work, heating and air-conditioning our homes, and flying on holidays or on business to Brazil? Undoubtedly the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration has been steadily increasing over the past 150 years. In its latest report released last September the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warned of dire consequences should CO2-emissions not be drastically curtailed in the near future.
Among the contributors to the IPCC report were also two Portuguese academics, Dr Pedro Viterbo, Director at the Portuguese Instituto de Meteorologia, and Professor Filipe Duarte Santos of the Lisbon University’s Faculty of Sciences, both serving as review editors for the IPCC. In conjunction with the report’s launch Santos warned that Portugal would be among the European countries most vulnerable to climate change. He suggested that the country in the future will suffer from more extreme weather events like heat-waves and droughts, which in turn will lead to more forest fires and reduced agricultural output. Santos prognosis sees an overall drop in rainfall but with the threat of short bursts of torrential rains that will raise the risk of flooding. Moreover, the Lisbon-based professor expects sea level to rise by more than half a metre before the end of this century, which would put two thirds of Portugal’s coastline at risk for a loss of terrain.
But is it really so? Checking the facts
Are these scary IPCC future scenarios really justified? This is an important question, especially as the European Union has decided to spend at least 20 percent of its entire 2014-2020 European Union budget on climate-related projects and policies – money that is already lacking in other fields. It is clear that the global temperature has risen by nearly one degree since 1850. A similar amount of warming has occurred also in Portugal, as evidenced by historic temperature measurements and geological investigations in the Tejo delta area.
What is interesting, however, is that there has been no warming in Portugal over the last 19 years. This corresponds with the global situation, which has not warmed in the past 16 years, a situation that all of the IPCC’s highly praised climate models failed to foresee. Scientists have been taken by surprise and are now nervously discussing what might have gone wrong in their models. A first explanation emerging is that important 60-year natural ocean cycles apparently had been overlooked. Historical temperature data recorded by weather stations in Lisbon and Coimbra during the last 140 years confirm these stunning cycles. Hardly known today is the fact that around 1950 temperatures in Portugal were as warm over a ten-year period as they are today. And 60 years before that, during the late 19th century, another warm peak had occurred in Portugal, though temperatures were not quite as high as modern levels. Strangely many high temperatures recorded at many places around the world during the 1940s and 1950s have been “corrected” downwards recently by official climate agencies such as NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS). Whether these data alterations are justified is today the subject of heated debate among some climate scientists.
How stable was the climate before CO2 levels rose?
To better understand the context of global warming since the industrial period started in 1850, it is also important to study pre-industrial temperature development when atmospheric CO2 concentrations were low and fairly stable at about 280 ppm. Obviously any change in climate during those pre-industrial times would essentially have to be owing to natural factors. Geological studies from all over the world have documented the occurrence of significant climate fluctuations during the last 10,000 years. Warm phases and cold phases alternated about every thousand years, often in sync with changes in solar activity. For example 1000 years ago, during the Islamic Period in Portugal, average global temperatures were at or above the present-day level. This period is referred to as the Medieval Warm Period and coincides with a phase of high solar activity.
A research team led by Fatima Abrantes from the Laboratório Nacional de Energia e Geologia (LNEG) investigated this period and examined a sediment core they had drilled out of the Tagus delta. In their report published in 2005 in the Quaternary Science Reviews journal, the scientists document temperatures that were on average more than half a degree warmer than today for the Lisbon area. The water discharge of the Tagus during this time was less.
A few years later Fatima Abrantes and her team expanded their studies to the Porto area. Not surprisingly the data confirmed the existence of the Medieval Warm Period also at this location. In their study the researchers recorded persistently elevated temperatures between AD 960-1300 and documented climatic conditions for northern Portugal that were at times more than one degree warmer than today. Studies in Spain show similar results.
The warm medieval climate allowed the Vikings to establish settlements in Greenland. The King of Norway-Denmark at the time reportedly sent a number of white falcons from Greenland as a gift to the King of Portugal and received the gift of a cargo of wine in return. The Medieval Warm Period is one of the greatest mysteries in climate science. How could it have been so warm when CO2 in the atmosphere was so low? Climate models still cannot reproduce this warm phase or other warm phases that had occurred earlier. International scientists met in Lisbon in September 2010 to discuss this dilemma, yet the problem remains unresolved to this day.
An inconvenient truth: climate has been always changing
On a global scale cold phases prevailed before and after the Medieval Warm Period. The influx of Germanic tribes to the Iberian Peninsula at the beginning of the 5th century was triggered by the so-called Dark Ages Cold Period. A decrease in agricultural yields in the north contributed to the European migration. Living conditions were equally difficult in central and northern Europe during the Little Ice Age of 1350-1850 AD. Harvests failed regularly and disease spread. Temperatures in Portugal also fell, as shown by Fatima Abrantes and her team show. During some of these winters heavy snowfall was recorded in Lisbon, such as in 1665, 1744 and 1886. Solar activity during the Little Ice Age was unusually low and might have been the main cause of this globally cool period.
Researchers at the University of Coimbra support the idea that solar activity is one of the key climate control mechanisms on timescales of decades and centuries. In cooperation with a Danish colleague from the Danish Meteorological Institute, Anna Morozova and Maria Alexandra Pais analysed temperature variations in Portugal over the last 140 years and found that solar activity changes had a significant impact on climate, especially during the winter months.
Also little known is the fact that temperatures of 7000 to 5000 years ago were globally one or even two degrees warmer than those of today. This is a time referred to as the Holocene Climate Optimum. In collaboration with the Geological Survey of Spain, a scientific team of the LNEG led by Ana Alberto investigated the temperature changes of this natural warm phase using a sediment core extracted from the Atlantic sea floor about 300 km west of Portugal. The researchers confirmed the existence of this high temperature phase, which had been preceded and was followed by colder periods.
Theoretical climate models come under scrutiny
The unexpectedly strong climate variability of the pre-industrial past indicates that the current climate models used by the IPCC underestimate the significance of natural climate drivers and thus greatly overstate the climate potency of CO2. If this is so, then the scary temperature warnings previously issued by the IPCC are unlikely to come true. Consequently it is not surprising that recently there has been a flurry of publications proposing that the warming effect of CO2 in the climate model equations should be reduced. According to the IPCC the so-called climate sensitivity – the warming that is expected to result from a doubling of atmospheric CO2 – is thought to be between 2°C and 4.5°C, with a best estimate of 3°C. However, a recent study by the Norwegian Research Council has drastically lowered these estimates and assumes only a value of 1.9°C.
In the meantime other scientists and organisations have joined in calling for a downward correction, including the Austrian Central Institution for Meteorology and Geodynamics. The government of the Netherlands has urged the IPCC to include natural climate change processes more systematically and realistically in their models. In reality CO2 climate sensitivity values might actually be as low as 1.5°C or even 1.0°C once solar activity effects are fully factored in. Now that the IPCC future warming scenarios appear to be largely exaggerated , a multitude of other climate-related prognoses are looking more and more to be widely off the mark, e.g. those related to sea level rise, droughts, heat waves and storms.
Iberian winter rain in sync with an Atlantic oceanic cycle
In 2009 researchers of the Pyrenean Institute of Ecology (CSIC) publicly warned that rainfall over the Iberian Peninsula would decrease over the coming decades due to rising greenhouse gas emissions. The basis for their claim was an analysis of precipitation data from Spain over the past 60 years which seemed to indicate a decline in winter precipitation.
Only five years later, after several unusually wet Iberian winters, this prediction has begun to fail spectacularly. In particular the winters 2009/2010, 2012/2013 and 2013/2014 have turned out to be extremely rainy. What did CSIC scientists overlook? In 2011 the CSIC researchers found themselves what it was. They had obviously neglected an important 60-year oceanic cycle, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) which had just entered its negative phase in 2009. The North Atlantic Oscillation is driven by the atmospheric pressure difference between the Icelandic low and the Azores high. It has been long known that winter rain in Portugal and Spain intensifies when this pressure difference is low, also refered to as a “negative NAO”. The NAO cycle began falling around 1990 and according to the 60-year cycle it is expected to remain at low levels for at least another decade thus bringing abundant rain to the Iberian Peninsula over the majority of the coming winters.
Obviously it is necessary to study climatic data series that are significantly longer than the 60-year ocean cycles in order to identify longer-term trends. This is exactly what a Spanish-Portuguese team led by María Cruz Gallego did in a study appearing in the Journal of Geophysical Research in 2011. The researchers studied Iberian rains over a 100-year period and found the opposite of what was found by their CSIC colleagues : the total number of rainy days and that of light rainfall was generally increasing . In 2013 a study led by Dario Camuffo involving researchers from the University of Lisbon and the University of Évora further corroborated this result. The team analysed precipitation data taken from the entire Western Mediterranean covering the last 300 years and found no specific trends over the whole period despite a warming of more than 1°C. It may not come as a surprise that in their data Camuffo and his colleagues found evidence of a 60-year Atlantic oceanic cycle influencing rainfall activity in the study region.
Over longer timescales of hundreds of years, Iberian rainfall was also affected by solar activity changes, as other studies show. Even the NAO itself is now assumed not to be oscillating fully independently, but is partly controlled by the varying energy output of the sun. Therefore the main rain drivers in Portugal and Spain are an Atlantic oceanic cycle and changes in solar activity.
What role could CO2 play in this development? Has it possibly led to an increase in more extreme rain events? A study by the Institute for Environment and Sustainability by the European Commission investigated an increase in insured losses associated with river flooding occurring in Spain between 1971 and 2008. After adjusting the data for socioeconomic factors, the researchers found that there had been no significant trend in the frequency or intensity of river flooding in Spain . Societal influences remain the prime factors driving insured and economic losses from natural disasters related to flooding.
No increase in droughts in Portugal over the past 70 years
IPCC-affiliated scientists have proposed that droughts in Portugal could become more frequent and intense in the future. However there are two concerns with this model. Firstly, this assumption is based on warming scenarios that are unlikely to materialise in reality because of an overestimated CO2 climate sensitivity. Secondly, calibration with historical drought statistics does not support the idea. A team from the Instituto Superior de Agronomia of the Universidade Técnica de Lisboa led by D.S. Martins studied the drought history of Portugal for the past 70 years and concluded that there is no linear trend indicating more drought events despite a warming of more than half a degree. Apparently there is no direct link between average temperature and drought frequency. In fact it seems that droughts were just as abundant during the pre-industrial past as they are today. A recent study by the Universidad de Extremadura analysed Iberian drought history during Muslim rule and identified three severe droughts: AD 748–754, AD 812–823 and AD 867–879.
The climate apocalypse is a false alarm
It is becoming ever clearer that the climate apocalypse so vividly promoted by some overly active scientists and organisations is not backed up very convincingly by scientific data. Theoretical models have failed spectacularly to reproduce the climate of the past. It turns out that climate has always been prone to natural variability, a fact that has been neglected for too long.
Meanwhile the public seem to have understood that the climate sciences have overplayed their hand. The people have had enough of dramatized reports predicting an imminent climate apocalypse just around the corner. According to a Eurobarometer poll conducted in July 2013, a mere 4% of the European population now cites the alleged climate catastrophe as their most pressing concern. Moreover, the number is zero percent in seven European countries, including Portugal.
August 11, 2014 – Gorgeous Weather Returns. Very nice weather is moving back into the Ozarks.
August 13, 2014 – Jackson, MS - Gorgeous stretch of weather!
August 15, 2014 - Watch 4 Billion Gallons of Mining Waste Pour Into Pristine B.C. Waterways
First Nations, environmentalists and just about everyone else are aghast at the severity of the toxic spill from a tailings pond.
On August 4 the tailings pond of the gold and copper open-pit Polley Mine, operated by Imperial Metals Corp., breached and sent billions of gallons of metals-laden silt and water into waterways awaiting the return of the salmon.
The mess has only just begun to wreak its environmental havoc, with campgrounds evacuated, a local emergency declared and a fishing ban imposed, among other immediate effects. Long-term damage is not yet known, and Imperial officials say they have no idea why it happened.
August 16, 2014 – State College, PA - Beautiful weather on tap for rest of week
August 18, 2014 – Baltimore, MD - Another Gorgeous August Day. Gorgeous August « CBS Baltimore
August 19, 2014 – Kentucky weather forecast Weather Lovely
August 22, 2014 – NYT Tries Hard to Jinx Our Beautiful Weather – NYMag
August 23, 2014 – Providence, RI - Dry and Gorgeous Weather Continue
August 24, 2014 – was a gorgeous day across the Hudson Valley.
August 24, 2014 - Washington, D.C. Weather Forecast: Lovely weather for the last week of August.
August 25, 2014 – Nice Weather - Forecast for Maritime Alps, Soaking Rain to Spread Across Europe.
August 26, 2014 - "Just to update with the last report back in June. This summer has remained spectacular here. Temperatures were in the 90’s for most of July. Typically it’s a hundred degrees or higher. More rain than usual for June, July and August. August? I can’t say enough about this month. It’s been raining like crazy. I’ve watered my lawn twice. Would have only been once, had I known that it was going to rain that same night. As I’ve said before, I work outside every day. And I can’t remember a summer like this, since? I really don’t remember a summer like this.
We didn’t get very good snow pack in our mountains last winter. So it’s going to be interesting how this winter is going to turn out. The mountains are visibly greener than normal . I didn’t say green. They’re usually very brown and dried out looking, for this time of year. Definitely an improvement.
EW’s Bryce Warner
August 26, 2014 - Rainstorm in the desert delays opening of ‘Burning Man’ festival.
The gates are open! Tens of thousands of stranded ‘burners’ flood into Burning Man site after festival is reopened following rare storm
Tens of thousands of so-called ‘burners’ were flooding through the gates of Burning Man this morning after the event was reopened following a rain storm that left Nevada’s Black Rock Desert looking more like a swamp on the festival’s opening day.
Vehicles were allowed into the event’s entrance on Highway 34 northeast of Gerlach from 6 a.m. Tuesday, organizers tweeted just after 1 a.m. Festival goers, or ‘burners,’ responded to the good news with excited tweets such as ‘time to get back on the road,’ and ‘all roads lead to #burningman.’ Yesterday, incredible pictures taken from the air showed the astonishing number of people stranded in the desert after rare heavy rains prevented them entering the site of the annual festival.
September 7, 2014 - Lukewarm wildfire season throws damper on climate-change predictions
2014 numbers below average
DENVER — This year’s below-average wildfire season comes as welcome news for Westerners, but it’s also burning a hole in the environmentalist narrative on climate change.
Although summer isn’t over, and fires are burning in California and Oregon, it has been a mild year in terms of the number of wildfires and acres burned , according to the National Interagency Fire Center.
The agency reports that 2.77 million acres have burned this year as of Sept. 5, a decline from the 3.9 million acres that had burned by the same date in 2013 and less than half the 10-year average of 6.2 million acres. The number of fires, 38,451, is also down considerably from the 10-year average of 56,278.
That reduction is even more impressive given that the Pacific Northwest was hit with an above-average wildfire season. In July Washington suffered the most destructive fire in its history, the Carlton Complex Fire, which burned 252,000 acres and destroyed 300 homes in the state’s north-central region.
So far the 2014 wildfire season is on pace to be the second-least destructive in the last decade , which could put a damper on the campaign to connect elevated carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere to an increase in extreme weather events, including wildfires.
That effort is being led by the White House. President Obama’s science adviser, John Holdren, says in a video released Aug. 5 on the White House website that climate change “has been making the fire season in the United States longer and, on average, more intense.”
“The National Climate Assessment released in May tells us, consistent with earlier studies, that longer, drier summers are expected to continue to increase the frequency and the intensity of large wildfires in the United States,” Mr. Holdren says in the video. “In the Western United States, the average annual area burned by large wildfires has increased severalfold in recent decades. The evidence is strong that climate change is responsible, at least in part, for this increase.”
Paul Knappenberger, assistant director of the Center for the Study of Science at the free market Cato Institute, argued that this year’s wildfire season comes as further evidence that Mr. Holdren and others have drastically overstated the impact of carbon dioxide emissions on weather conditions.
When these guys are making these predictions — ‘Wildfires are going to get worse’ — and then you have a wildfire season which is way below normal, it’s ripe for coming back to them and saying, ‘See? Why are you making these crazy predictions? It’s not going to happen like that all the time,’” said Mr. Knappenberger.
Jamie Henn, spokesman for 350.org, an advocacy group “building a global climate movement,” declined to comment on this year’s wildfire season but offered resources on the connection between wildfires and global warming, including a fact sheet from Climate Nexus.
“These wildfires are yet another indication that climate change has arrived, and the fire threat is only projected to get worse in the future. Unless we cut carbon pollution, extreme weather events like this will become more frequent in the future,” says the fact sheet.
Coleen Decker, NIFC assistant program manager for predictive services in Boise, attributed this year’s below-average wildfire activity to a combination of factors, starting with the virtual absence of wildfires in the Southeast as a result of cool temperatures and high moisture during the January-to-April fire season.
Wildfires were also down in the Southwest. “We never saw any extended period of warming or drying,” Ms. Decker said. “ They’d get a little warm, then they’d get a burst of rain.”
She also said there are too many variables involved in wildfire seasons to offer conclusions on how climate change may be contributing.
“The factors are weather, terrain and fuel, and it’s hard to filter out the noise and decide what’s been attributed to each factor, ” said Ms. Decker.
That Washington, Oregon and Northern California have been hard hit by wildfires this year suggests that other factors are playing a bigger role than hotter temperatures — because it’s actually getting cooler in the Pacific Northwest , said Myron Ebell, director of the Center for Energy and Environment at the Competitive Enterprise Institute.
Temperatures in the region peaked around 2007 and fell until 2013, when they ticked up slightly, according to figures from the National Climatic Data Center.
“The problem with wildfires is not climate change. For example, the number of big catastrophic fires has gone up in the Northwest, and yet the Northwest is in a cooling cycle,” said Mr. Ebell. “The problem with the Western forests is there’s just far too much fuel that’s been built up. Under pressure from the environmental movement, we have stopped logging in our national forests.”
The 1990 decision to list as threatened the Northern spotted owl has resulted in a huge reduction in the amount of timber being cut in the Pacific Northwest national forests. Timber production has dropped from 12 billion board feet to 2 billion since the early 1990s, according to the Forest Service.
“You can’t add 17 billion board feet of fiber every year and only cut 2 billion and not end up with these catastrophic fires,” said Mr. Ebell.
Analysts like Mr. Ebell and Mr. Knappenberger have been accused of being climate change “deniers,” but they say the only thing they’re denying are the environmental movement’s predictions of certain global warming catastrophe.
“What I’m denying is not the fact that fossil fuel emissions have some impact on the climate,” said Mr. Knappenberger. “What I’m denying is that the impact is detectable or going to be as bad as some people say it’s going to be. What I’m denying is the global warming alarmism.”
September 9, 2014 - All Great Lakes water level is at or above normal for first time in 14 years
Remember this alarmist whining from Joe Romm’s Climate Progress last year?
“How Climate Change Is Damaging The Great Lakes , With Implications For The Environment And The Economy
Great Lakes Michigan and Huron set a new record low water level for the month of December, and in the coming weeks they could experience their lowest water levels ever. It’s becoming certain that, like the rest of the country, the Great Lakes are feeling the effects of climate change.
Last year was officially the warmest year on record for the lower-48 states. The hot summer air has been causing the surface water of the Great Lakes to increase in temperature. One might think this causes more precipitation around the lakes, but the warmer winter air is causing a shorter duration of ice cover. In fact, the amount of ice covering the lakes has declined about 71 percent over the past 40 years. Last year, only 5 percent of the lakes froze over –- compared to 1979 when ice coverage was as much as 94 percent.”
What a difference a year makes.
Current data from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers shows that for the first time in 14 years, all five Great Lakes are at or above average water levels. Lake Michigan/Huron is up 18″ in the last year.
From a July 07, 2014 Chicago Tribune article:
“In January 2013, the average water levels in Lakes Michigan and Huron dipped to 576 feet, the lowest point since modern record-keeping began in 1918.
The all-time high of 582.3 feet was set in October 1986, representing a sizable range of about 6 feet.
The lakes tend to follow yearly cycles, swelling in the spring and summer and shrinking in the fall and winter, but they have never in 95 years of recordings remained below average for so long.
The last two years of relatively heavy winter and spring precipitation, however, have led to this year’s stronger-than-usual seasonal rise , according to Keith Kompoltowicz, chief of watershed hydrology for the Army Corps of Engineers Detroit District.
“We saw a tremendous amount of snow,” Kompoltowicz said of this winter. “We haven’t seen snow like that in a long time.”
In fact, the snowpack around the Michigan basin this year was 30 percent higher than at any time in the past decade. The past two months have also supplied above-average amounts of rain, quenching parched harbors and popular fishing holes like the Lincoln Park Lagoon.
So much for climate change effects , water is back to normal levels for now.
September 12, 2014 - Rapid City sees earliest snowfall since 1888
An early September winter storm in the Black Hills has dumped up to 8 inches of snow in the area , while Rapid City received its earliest snowfall in more than 120 years.
Jon Chamberlain, meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Rapid City, said almost 1 inch of snow had fallen in downtown Rapid City by 8:30 a.m. while 2 inches was measured in higher elevations in town.
The snowfall in downtown Rapid City is the earliest in the city since 1888 , the NWS said. The previous early snowfall mark was seven-tenths of an inch on Sept. 13, 1970.
Chamberlain said while it is unusual for Rapid City to see snowfall this early , it isn’t for the Black Hills.
"It’s a little on the high side, though," he said.